Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.812111 14.679892 16.672810 18.951678 21.479392 24.191160 27.314234
2025-11-02 9.909858 12.371332 15.178251 18.593846 22.614353 27.172578 32.705984
2025-11-09 8.088789 10.800844 14.056654 18.208803 23.315054 29.339368 36.929663
2025-11-16 6.792355 9.619327 13.167172 17.875153 23.879550 31.197766 40.698558
2025-11-23 5.705021 8.537135 12.240656 17.336233 24.050296 32.471922 43.694333
2025-11-30 5.060690 7.951456 11.870376 17.433203 24.968980 34.652107 47.838415
2025-12-07 4.513905 7.428836 11.516877 17.490328 25.790682 36.692142 51.829561
2025-12-14 4.088334 7.027851 11.282636 17.667438 26.746586 38.907797 56.090341
2025-12-21 3.679962 6.603820 10.968844 17.689897 27.460662 40.794645 59.944558
2025-12-28 3.436544 6.407777 10.966358 18.145058 28.782409 43.533049 65.014375
2026-01-04 3.184880 6.169584 10.874213 18.447727 29.879939 45.978697 69.737357
2026-01-11 2.908093 5.858823 10.639798 18.509022 30.609735 47.912236 73.784861
2026-01-18 2.545308 5.364747 10.078823 18.034723 30.524607 48.688645 76.245175
2026-01-25 2.251157 4.959189 9.627137 17.696653 30.616319 49.707509 79.065166
2026-02-01 1.986476 4.576245 9.178850 17.327022 30.626718 50.587213 81.686325
2026-02-08 1.760441 4.239641 8.780178 17.006680 30.686147 51.523971 84.396778
2026-02-15 1.531811 3.868691 8.287222 16.489346 30.394214 51.902466 86.268792
2026-02-22 1.410784 3.704817 8.156257 16.582423 31.088865 53.801742 90.459767
2026-03-01 1.296376 3.540981 8.010888 16.637257 31.714968 55.604041 94.539509
2026-03-08 1.205937 3.418947 7.934517 16.807271 32.534096 57.724663 99.150380
2026-03-15 1.107140 3.265333 7.783270 16.828831 33.095837 59.445654 103.177071
2026-03-22 1.059322 3.225970 7.856004 17.265819 34.383249 62.357079 109.119583
2026-03-29 1.000326 3.152279 7.852440 17.556447 35.422302 64.889553 114.518331